Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada Women win with a probability of 83.7%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for New Zealand Women had a probability of 3.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Canada Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (14.62%) and 1-0 (14.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (5.62%), while for a New Zealand Women win it was 0-1 (2.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Canada Women would win this match.
-0.86) 
0.39) 
