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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton Under-21s win with a probability of 47.25%. A win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.08%) and 0-2 (5.87%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United Under-21s | Draw | Everton Under-21s |
30.75% ( -0.16) | 21.99% ( -0.08) | 47.25% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 66.93% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.12% ( 0.29) | 32.88% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.41% ( 0.33) | 54.59% ( -0.33) |
| Newcastle United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.29% ( 0.05) | 21.71% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.13% ( 0.07) | 54.86% ( -0.07) |
| Everton Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.48% ( 0.19) | 14.52% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.47% ( 0.37) | 42.53% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United Under-21s | Draw | Everton Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.1% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 3.48% Total : 30.75% | 1-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.85% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.47% Total : 21.99% | 1-2 @ 8.96% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.77% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 4.4% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 3.78% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.78% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 2.13% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.82% ( 0.02)3-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.07% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.51% Total : 47.25% |
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