SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton Under-21s win with a probability of 69.14%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 15.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.99%), while for a Stoke City Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Everton Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Everton Under-21s | Draw | Stoke City Under-21s |
69.14% ( 1.13) | 15.85% ( -0.28) | 15.02% ( -0.84) |
| Both teams to score 68.1% ( -1.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 77.66% ( -0.39) | 22.34% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 58.64% ( -0.53) | 41.36% ( 0.54) |
| Everton Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94% ( 0.1) | 5.99% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 77.13% ( 0.26) | 22.87% ( -0.26) |
| Stoke City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.44% ( -1.17) | 27.56% ( 1.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.92% ( -1.54) | 63.08% ( 1.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton Under-21s | Draw | Stoke City Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.25)3-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.27)4-1 @ 5.57% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.11)1-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.16)4-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.21)4-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 3.13% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.13)5-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.08)6-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.04)6-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.07)6-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.22% Total : 69.14% | 1-1 @ 5.99% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.12)0-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.58% Total : 15.85% | 1-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.15)0-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.66% Total : 15.02% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
