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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace Under-21s win with a probability of 51.87%. A win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 27.82% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.39%) and 0-2 (5.37%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United Under-21s | Draw | Crystal Palace Under-21s |
27.82% ( 0.07) | 20.31% ( 0.02) | 51.87% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 71.27% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.57% ( -0.03) | 26.42% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.24% ( -0.04) | 46.75% ( 0.04) |
| Newcastle United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.91% ( 0.03) | 20.08% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.67% ( 0.04) | 52.32% ( -0.04) |
| Crystal Palace Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.18% ( -0.04) | 10.82% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.12% ( -0.08) | 34.88% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United Under-21s | Draw | Crystal Palace Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 6.23% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.34% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 2.85% Total : 27.82% | 1-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.92% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.75% 0-0 @ 2.17% ( 0)Other @ 0.71% Total : 20.31% | 1-2 @ 8.63% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.39% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.37% ( -0)2-3 @ 5.13% ( -0)0-1 @ 4.83% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.98% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.56% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 2.85% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1.53% ( -0)2-5 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.54% Total : 51.87% |
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