SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham Under-21s win with a probability of 69.66%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 14.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.89%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.71%), while for a Newcastle United Under-21s win it was 2-1 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United Under-21s | Draw | Fulham Under-21s |
14.82% ( 0.05) | 15.52% ( 0.03) | 69.66% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 69% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 78.87% ( -0.05) | 21.13% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 60.31% ( -0.07) | 39.69% ( 0.07) |
| Newcastle United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.11% ( 0.02) | 26.89% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.79% ( 0.03) | 62.21% ( -0.03) |
| Fulham Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.38% ( -0.03) | 5.62% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.2% ( -0.07) | 21.8% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United Under-21s | Draw | Fulham Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.77% Total : 14.82% | 1-1 @ 5.71% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.27% ( 0)0-0 @ 1.51% ( 0)Other @ 0.63% Total : 15.52% | 1-2 @ 8.23% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 7.89% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.26% ( 0)0-3 @ 6.01% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 5.68% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 5.18% ( 0)0-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 4.33% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 3.73% ( -0)1-5 @ 3.27% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 2.49% ( -0.01)2-5 @ 2.15% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1.63% ( -0)1-6 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)0-6 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)2-6 @ 1.03% ( -0)3-5 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 3.72% Total : 69.66% |
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