SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 63.26%. A win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 18.5% and a draw had a probability of 18.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.54%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-21s win was 2-1 (4.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-7 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United Under-21s | Draw | Chelsea Under-21s |
18.5% ( 0.03) | 18.23% ( 0.01) | 63.26% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 66.27% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.38% ( -0) | 27.62% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.73% ( -0.01) | 48.27% ( 0.01) |
| Newcastle United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.4% ( 0.03) | 27.6% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.87% ( 0.03) | 63.13% ( -0.03) |
| Chelsea Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.52% ( -0.01) | 8.48% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.6% ( -0.02) | 29.4% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United Under-21s | Draw | Chelsea Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 3.01% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.05% ( 0)2-0 @ 1.94% ( 0)Other @ 4.18% Total : 18.5% | 1-1 @ 7.43% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.34% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.08% ( 0)Other @ 0.47% Total : 18.23% | 1-2 @ 9.17% ( 0) 1-3 @ 7.54% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.12% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.86% ( -0.01)0-1 @ 5.77% 2-3 @ 4.86% ( 0)1-4 @ 4.65% ( -0)0-4 @ 3.62% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 3% ( -0)1-5 @ 2.3% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.78% ( -0)2-5 @ 1.48% ( -0)3-4 @ 1.29% ( 0)1-6 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 3.88% Total : 63.26% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
