SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United Under-21s win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-21s had a probability of 38.83% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (4.92%) and 1-3 (4.81%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough Under-21s | Draw | Newcastle United Under-21s |
38.83% ( 2.4) | 21.92% ( 0) | 39.24% ( -2.41) |
| Both teams to score 69.73% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.79% ( 0.19) | 30.2% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.56% ( 0.23) | 51.43% ( -0.24) |
| Middlesbrough Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.42% ( 1.11) | 16.58% ( -1.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.62% ( 1.95) | 46.37% ( -1.96) |
| Newcastle United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.58% ( -0.86) | 16.41% ( 0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.92% ( -1.58) | 46.07% ( 1.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Middlesbrough Under-21s | Draw | Newcastle United Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.26) 1-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.32)2-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.27)3-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.25)4-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.22)4-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.15)4-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.51% Total : 38.83% | 1-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 7.17% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.6% Total : 21.92% | 1-2 @ 7.98% ( -0.27) 0-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.2)1-3 @ 4.81% ( -0.31)0-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.32)2-3 @ 4.32% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.28)1-4 @ 2.17% ( -0.21)2-4 @ 1.95% ( -0.11)0-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.17)3-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.59% Total : 39.24% |
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