SM
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Denmark | 9 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Slovenia | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | Kazakhstan | 9 | 5 | 18 |
| 4 | Finland | 9 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Northern Ireland | 9 | -6 | 6 |
| 6 | San Marino | 9 | -27 | 0 |
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Denmark | 9 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Slovenia | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | Kazakhstan | 9 | 5 | 18 |
| 4 | Finland | 9 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Northern Ireland | 9 | -6 | 6 |
| 6 | San Marino | 9 | -27 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 41.48%. A win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Northern Ireland win was 1-0 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Northern Ireland | Draw | Denmark |
31.33% ( -0.16) | 27.19% ( -0.02) | 41.48% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 49.38% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.12% ( 0.05) | 55.87% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.01% ( 0.04) | 76.99% ( -0.04) |
| Northern Ireland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.21% ( -0.09) | 32.78% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.66% ( -0.1) | 69.34% ( 0.1) |
| Denmark Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.46% ( 0.12) | 26.54% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.25% ( 0.16) | 61.74% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Northern Ireland | Draw | Denmark |
| 1-0 @ 9.7% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0)Other @ 2.59% Total : 31.33% | 1-1 @ 12.87% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.7% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.76% ( 0)Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.19% | 0-1 @ 11.53% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.54% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.66% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.78% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.1% Total : 41.47% |
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