SM
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Finland | 4 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Kazakhstan | 4 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Denmark | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Slovenia | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 | Northern Ireland | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | San Marino | 4 | -13 | 0 |
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Finland | 4 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Kazakhstan | 4 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Denmark | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Slovenia | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 | Northern Ireland | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | San Marino | 4 | -13 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 97.3%. A draw had a probability of 2.4% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 0.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 4-0 with a probability of 16.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (16.5%) and 5-0 (13.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (1.44%), while for a San Marino win it was 0-1 (0.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 16.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Denmark in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Denmark.
| Result | ||
| Denmark | Draw | San Marino |
97.3% ( 0.01) | 2.41% ( -0.01) | 0.29% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 13.08% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 79.54% ( -0.05) | 20.46% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 61.26% ( -0.08) | 38.74% ( 0.07) |
| Denmark Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 98.34% ( -0) | 1.66% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 91.55% ( -0.01) | 8.45% ( 0.01) |
| San Marino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 13.3% ( -0.2) | 86.7% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 0.93% ( -0.03) | 99.07% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Denmark | Draw | San Marino |
| 4-0 @ 16.91% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 16.5% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 13.87% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 12.07% ( 0.04)6-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.02)7-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.01)8-0 @ 2.85% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.02)6-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)9-0 @ 1.3% ( 0)Other @ 3.04% Total : 97.28% | 0-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.97% Total : 2.41% | Other @ 0.29% Total : 0.29% |
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