SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough Under-21s win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Norwich City Under-21s had a probability of 38.72% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (4.97%) and 2-3 (4.74%). The likeliest Norwich City Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Norwich City Under-21s | Draw | Middlesbrough Under-21s |
38.72% ( 0.03) | 21.11% ( -0) | 40.17% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 73.06% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.05% ( 0.01) | 25.95% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.85% ( 0.01) | 46.15% ( -0.01) |
| Norwich City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.2% ( 0.02) | 14.79% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.93% ( 0.03) | 43.06% ( -0.03) |
| Middlesbrough Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.74% ( -0) | 14.26% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.97% ( -0.01) | 42.03% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Norwich City Under-21s | Draw | Middlesbrough Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.5% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.65% ( 0)1-0 @ 4.03% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.85% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.45% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.28% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.22% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.44% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 4.33% Total : 38.72% | 1-1 @ 7.85% ( -0) 2-2 @ 7.31% 3-3 @ 3.02% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.11% ( -0)Other @ 0.82% Total : 21.11% | 1-2 @ 7.65% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.97% ( -0)2-3 @ 4.74% ( -0)0-1 @ 4.11% ( -0)0-2 @ 4% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.6% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.42% ( -0)2-4 @ 2.31% 3-4 @ 1.47% 0-4 @ 1.27% ( -0)1-5 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 3.7% Total : 40.17% |
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