SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough Under-21s win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 36.99% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.07%) and 0-1 (4.93%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City Under-21s | Draw | Middlesbrough Under-21s |
36.99% ( 0.02) | 21.79% ( 0) | 41.21% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 70.1% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.33% ( -0.01) | 29.66% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.21% ( -0.01) | 50.79% ( 0.01) |
| Stoke City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.88% | 17.12% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.66% ( 0) | 47.33% ( -0) |
| Middlesbrough Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.58% ( -0.01) | 15.42% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.75% ( -0.02) | 44.24% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City Under-21s | Draw | Middlesbrough Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.69% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.66% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.52% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.23% 2-0 @ 4.11% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.42% ( 0)4-1 @ 2% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.87% 4-3 @ 1.16% 4-0 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 3.28% Total : 36.99% | 1-1 @ 8.71% ( 0) 2-2 @ 7.19% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.64% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.64% ( -0)Other @ 0.62% Total : 21.79% | 1-2 @ 8.14% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.07% ( -0)0-1 @ 4.93% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.61% ( -0)2-3 @ 4.48% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.88% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.37% ( -0)2-4 @ 2.09% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.34% ( -0)3-4 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 4.06% Total : 41.21% |
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