SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-21s win with a probability of 50.35%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-21s had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.14%) and 2-3 (5.47%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough Under-21s | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
29.86% ( 0.59) | 19.78% ( 0.09) | 50.35% ( -0.68) |
| Both teams to score 75.02% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 77.7% ( -0.05) | 22.29% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 58.7% ( -0.08) | 41.3% ( 0.08) |
| Middlesbrough Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.16% ( 0.26) | 16.83% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.17% ( 0.46) | 46.83% ( -0.46) |
| Aston Villa Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.21% ( -0.19) | 9.78% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.47% ( -0.44) | 32.52% ( 0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Middlesbrough Under-21s | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.61% ( 0.08)1-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.05)4-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.96% Total : 29.86% | 2-2 @ 7.06% ( 0.03) 1-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)Other @ 1% Total : 19.78% | 1-2 @ 7.93% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 6.14% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 5.47% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.06)0-1 @ 3.83% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 3.57% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 3.18% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 2% ( -0.06)3-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.66% ( -0.05)2-5 @ 1.48% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.37% Total : 50.35% |
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