Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland Under-21s win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Norwich City Under-21s had a probability of 37.15% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 6.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-3 (5.44%) and 1-3 (5.16%). The likeliest Norwich City Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland Under-21s would win this match.
Result | ||
Norwich City Under-21s | Draw | Sunderland Under-21s |
37.15% ( 0.32) | 19.66% ( 0.01) | 43.19% ( -0.33) |
Both teams to score 78.75% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
81.2% ( -0.01) | 18.8% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
63.63% ( -0.01) | 36.37% ( 0.01) |
Norwich City Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.83% ( 0.1) | 12.17% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.2% ( 0.22) | 37.8% ( -0.22) |
Sunderland Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.66% ( -0.09) | 10.34% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.21% ( -0.21) | 33.79% ( 0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Norwich City Under-21s | Draw | Sunderland Under-21s |
2-1 @ 6.33% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.03) 4-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.79% Total : 37.15% | 2-2 @ 7.19% ( 0) 1-1 @ 6.01% ( 0) 3-3 @ 3.82% ( 0) 0-0 @ 1.26% ( 0) 4-4 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 19.66% | 1-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 5.44% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 5.16% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 3.08% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.93% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.03) 3-4 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 2-5 @ 1.4% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 1.33% ( -0.02) 3-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.94% Total : 43.19% |
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