SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 41.3%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Hartlepool United |
41.3% ( -0.13) | 24.53% ( -0.02) | 34.17% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 59.03% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.17% ( 0.14) | 43.83% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.78% ( 0.13) | 66.21% ( -0.14) |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.71% | 21.29% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.78% ( 0) | 54.22% ( -0) |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75% ( 0.15) | 25% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.34% ( 0.21) | 59.65% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 2-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 2.63% Total : 41.3% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.52% | 1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.67% Total : 34.17% |
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