SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 51.73%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 26.24% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.32%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 2-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wealdstone | Draw | Hartlepool United |
26.24% ( 0.25) | 22.03% ( -0.28) | 51.73% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 63.13% ( 1.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.64% ( 1.58) | 36.36% ( -1.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.51% ( 1.71) | 58.49% ( -1.71) |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.66% ( 1.02) | 26.34% ( -1.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.52% ( 1.34) | 61.48% ( -1.34) |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.71% ( 0.57) | 14.29% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.9% ( 1.1) | 42.1% ( -1.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wealdstone | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 2-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.25)2-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 2.9% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.24% Total : 26.24% | 1-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.13)0-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.3)3-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.03% | 1-2 @ 9.5% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.43)0-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.26)1-3 @ 6.16% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 4.62% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.17)1-4 @ 3% ( 0.1)0-4 @ 2.25% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 2% ( 0.12)1-5 @ 1.17% ( 0.06)Other @ 4.47% Total : 51.73% |
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