SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kidderminster Harriers | Draw | Hartlepool United |
38.54% ( 0.06) | 25.8% ( 0.01) | 35.67% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 54.87% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.67% ( -0.06) | 49.33% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.62% ( -0.05) | 71.38% ( 0.05) |
| Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.89% ( 0) | 25.11% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.19% ( 0.01) | 59.81% ( -0) |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.27% ( -0.07) | 26.72% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.01% ( -0.09) | 61.99% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kidderminster Harriers | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 1-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.9% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.62% Total : 38.54% | 1-1 @ 12.23% 0-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 8.86% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.07% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.15% Total : 35.67% |
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