Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
0.06) 
-0.07) 
