Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paksi SE win with a probability of 66.64%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Mornar had a probability of 13.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paksi SE win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.22%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%), while for a Mornar win it was 0-1 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paksi SE would win this match.
