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Copa America | Group Stage
Jun 27, 2024 at 11pm UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
UN

Panama
2 - 1
USA

Blackman (26'), Fajardo (83')
Guerrero (45'), Farina (90+2'), Gondola (90+3')
Carrasquilla (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Balogun (22')
Robinson (33'), Richards (89')
Weah (18')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Copa America
Last Game: Uruguay 3-1 Panama
Monday, June 24 at 2am in Copa America
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1Uruguay123
2USA123
3Panama1-20
4Bolivia1-20
All competitions
Copa America
Last Game: USA 2-0 Bolivia
Sunday, June 23 at 11pm in Copa America
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1Uruguay123
2USA123
3Panama1-20
4Bolivia1-20

We said: Panama 0-1 USA

Panama have proven they can compete with the top nations in CONCACAF, but we believe Los Canaleros will have difficulty contending with the Americans' youthful exuberance and intensity for 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 52.8%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Panama had a probability of 22.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.74%) and 1-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Panama win it was 1-0 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
PanamaDrawUSA
22.64% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 24.56% (0.039000000000001 0.04) 52.8% (-0.061 -0.06)
Both teams to score 50.6% (-0.101 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.95% (-0.143 -0.14)51.06% (0.143 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.09% (-0.126 -0.13)72.91% (0.12599999999999 0.13)
Panama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.7% (-0.064 -0.06)37.3% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.92% (-0.061 -0.06)74.08% (0.060999999999993 0.06)
USA Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.7% (-0.079000000000008 -0.08)19.3% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.96% (-0.131 -0.13)51.04% (0.13 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Panama 22.64%
    USA 52.8%
    Draw 24.55%
PanamaDrawUSA
1-0 @ 7.1% (0.029 0.03)
2-1 @ 5.76%
2-0 @ 3.5% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.89% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.56% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.15% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 22.64%
1-1 @ 11.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.2% (0.041 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.74% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 24.55%
0-1 @ 11.84% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 9.74% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.61% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.34% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.27% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.6% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.2% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.17% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 52.8%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Uruguay 3-1 Panama
Monday, June 24 at 2am in Copa America
Last Game: Panama 0-1 Paraguay
Sunday, June 16 at 11.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Montserrat 1-3 Panama
Monday, June 10 at 2am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Panama 2-0 Guyana
Friday, June 7 at 1.30am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last Game: Panama 0-1 Jamaica
Sunday, March 24 at 10pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Panama 0-3 Mexico
Friday, March 22 at 2.15am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: USA 2-0 Bolivia
Sunday, June 23 at 11pm in Copa America
Last Game: USA 1-1 Brazil
Thursday, June 13 at 12am in International Friendlies
Last Game: USA 1-5 Colombia
Saturday, June 8 at 10.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 0-2 USA
Monday, March 25 at 1.15am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: USA 3-1 Jamaica
Thursday, March 21 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: USA 0-1 Slovenia
Saturday, January 20 at 8pm in International Friendlies


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