SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | USA | 3 | 12 | 7 |
| 2 | Jamaica | 3 | 8 | 7 |
| 3 | Trinidad and Tobago | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 4 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 3 | -14 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 69.33%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Jamaica had a probability of 11.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.51%) and 3-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Jamaica win it was 0-1 (4.48%).
| Result | ||
| USA | Draw | Jamaica |
69.33% ( -0.04) | 19.42% ( 0.11) | 11.25% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 42.7% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.96% ( -0.59) | 49.04% ( 0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.88% ( -0.54) | 71.12% ( 0.54) |
| USA Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.97% ( -0.19) | 13.03% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.42% ( -0.39) | 39.59% ( 0.39) |
| Jamaica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.1% ( -0.48) | 50.91% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.73% ( -0.33) | 85.28% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| USA | Draw | Jamaica |
| 2-0 @ 13.77% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 13.51% ( 0.23)3-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.32% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.22% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.6% Total : 69.32% | 1-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.52% Total : 19.42% | 0-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.18% Total : 11.25% |
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