SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 62.04%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Panama had a probability of 15.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.4%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Panama win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that USA would win this match.
| Result | ||
| USA | Draw | Panama |
| 62.04% | 22.48% | 15.47% |
| Both teams to score 44.89% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.57% | 52.43% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.89% | 74.1% |
| USA Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.57% | 16.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.91% | 46.09% |
| Panama Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.71% | 46.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.05% | 81.94% |
| Score Analysis |
| USA | Draw | Panama |
| 1-0 @ 13.73% 2-0 @ 12.4% 2-1 @ 9.56% 3-0 @ 7.47% 3-1 @ 5.75% 4-0 @ 3.37% 4-1 @ 2.6% 3-2 @ 2.22% 5-0 @ 1.22% 4-2 @ 1% 5-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.78% Total : 62.04% | 1-1 @ 10.57% 0-0 @ 7.6% 2-2 @ 3.68% Other @ 0.62% Total : 22.47% | 0-1 @ 5.86% 1-2 @ 4.07% 0-2 @ 2.26% 1-3 @ 1.05% 2-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.3% Total : 15.47% |
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