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UN
Friendlies 1
Jun 13, 2024 at 12am UK
Camping World Stadium
BN

USA
1 - 1
Brazil

Pulisic (26')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rodrygo (17')
Gomes (15')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: USA 1-5 Colombia
Saturday, June 8 at 10.30pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 2-3 Brazil
Sunday, June 9 at 2am in International Friendlies

We said: USA 1-3 Brazil

USA boss Berhalter will naturally demand a response from his players following last weekend's disappointing result, but they will enter Thursday's contest against five-time world champions Brazil as underdogs, even if the South American giants opt to rest a few star names. Brazil have looked a little shaky at the back since Dorival's appointment, so that should provide USA with some hope, but we still expect the Selecao to outscore their opponents and enter the 2024 Copa America on a high. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 50.04%. A win for Brazil had a probability of 25.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Brazil win was 0-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
USADrawBrazil
50.04% (-2.231 -2.23) 24.82% (0.672 0.67) 25.13% (1.558 1.56)
Both teams to score 52.52% (-0.462 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.14% (-1.41 -1.41)49.85% (1.408 1.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.15% (-1.273 -1.27)71.85% (1.272 1.27)
USA Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.06% (-1.435 -1.44)19.93% (1.433 1.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.91% (-2.365 -2.37)52.08% (2.362 2.36)
Brazil Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.6% (0.587 0.59)34.39% (-0.588 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.89% (0.622 0.62)71.1% (-0.624 -0.62)
Score Analysis
    USA 50.04%
    Brazil 25.14%
    Draw 24.82%
USADrawBrazil
1-0 @ 11.05% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.161 -0.16)
2-0 @ 8.92% (-0.297 -0.3)
3-1 @ 5.12% (-0.327 -0.33)
3-0 @ 4.79% (-0.389 -0.39)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.128 -0.13)
4-1 @ 2.06% (-0.233 -0.23)
4-0 @ 1.93% (-0.253 -0.25)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 50.04%
1-1 @ 11.8% (0.33 0.33)
0-0 @ 6.86% (0.384 0.38)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.82%
0-1 @ 7.32% (0.52 0.52)
1-2 @ 6.3% (0.274 0.27)
0-2 @ 3.91% (0.335 0.34)
1-3 @ 2.24% (0.131 0.13)
2-3 @ 1.81% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.139 0.14)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 25.14%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: USA 1-5 Colombia
Saturday, June 8 at 10.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 0-2 USA
Monday, March 25 at 1.15am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: USA 3-1 Jamaica
Thursday, March 21 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: USA 0-1 Slovenia
Saturday, January 20 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Trin. & Tob. 2-1 USA
Tuesday, November 21 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: USA 3-0 Trin. & Tob.
Friday, November 17 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Mexico 2-3 Brazil
Sunday, June 9 at 2am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Spain 3-3 Brazil
Tuesday, March 26 at 8.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: England 0-1 Brazil
Saturday, March 23 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Brazil 0-1 Argentina
Wednesday, November 22 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Colombia 2-1 Brazil
Friday, November 17 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Uruguay 2-0 Brazil
Wednesday, October 18 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - South America


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