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Women's Champions League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stade Municipal Georges Lefevre

PSG
1 - 2
Lyon

Chawinga (41')
Karchaoui (57')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bacha (3'), Dumornay (81')
van de Donk (12'), Carpenter (56')

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Lyon 3-2 PSG
Saturday, April 20 at 6pm in Women's Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Lyon 3-2 PSG
Saturday, April 20 at 6pm in Women's Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We said: Paris Saint-Germain Women 2-2 Lyon Women

After producing an entertaining first leg, we think that the two sides will conjure up more goals in Sunday's return leg, but with Lyon renowned for their success in this competition, we think that the record winners will hold PSG to a draw and seal their place in the final. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon Women win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain Women had a probability of 37.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.38%) and 0-2 (5.66%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain Women win was 2-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lyon Women in this match.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain WomenDrawLyon Women
37.2% (-0.704 -0.7) 24.14% (0.424 0.42) 38.66% (0.282 0.28)
Both teams to score 60.92% (-1.635 -1.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.43% (-2.108 -2.11)41.57% (2.111 2.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.03% (-2.166 -2.17)63.97% (2.17 2.17)
Paris Saint-Germain Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.69% (-1.29 -1.29)22.31% (1.293 1.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.22% (-1.975 -1.98)55.78% (1.978 1.98)
Lyon Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.42% (-0.788 -0.79)21.58% (0.79 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.33% (-1.223 -1.22)54.67% (1.227 1.23)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain Women 37.2%
    Lyon Women 38.66%
    Draw 24.14%
Paris Saint-Germain WomenDrawLyon Women
2-1 @ 8.31% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.22% (0.407 0.41)
2-0 @ 5.42% (0.101 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.15% (-0.187 -0.19)
3-2 @ 3.19% (-0.224 -0.22)
3-0 @ 2.71% (-0.055 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.56% (-0.135 -0.14)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.135 -0.14)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 37.2%
1-1 @ 11.07% (0.37 0.37)
2-2 @ 6.37% (-0.188 -0.19)
0-0 @ 4.82% (0.445 0.45)
3-3 @ 1.63% (-0.157 -0.16)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.14%
1-2 @ 8.49% (0.084 0.08)
0-1 @ 7.38% (0.519 0.52)
0-2 @ 5.66% (0.27 0.27)
1-3 @ 4.34% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-3 @ 3.26% (-0.178 -0.18)
0-3 @ 2.89% (0.071 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.66% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.25% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-4 @ 1.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 38.66%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lyon 3-2 PSG
Saturday, April 20 at 6pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: PSG 3-0 BK Hacken
Thursday, March 28 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: BK Hacken 1-2 PSG
Wednesday, March 20 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Bayern Munich 2-2 PSG
Tuesday, January 30 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: PSG 3-1 Ajax
Wednesday, January 24 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Roma 1-3 PSG
Wednesday, December 20 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Lyon 3-2 PSG
Saturday, April 20 at 6pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Lyon 4-1 Benfica
Wednesday, March 27 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Benfica 1-2 Lyon
Tuesday, March 19 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Lyon 2-2 Slavia Prague
Wednesday, January 31 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: St Polten 0-7 Lyon
Thursday, January 25 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Brann 2-2 Lyon
Thursday, December 21 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League


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