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Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 20, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Stadio Tre Fontane

Roma
1 - 3
PSG

Giugliano (88')
Giacinti (61'), Spugna (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Chawinga (26'), Katoto (67'), Albert (78')
De Almeida (39'), Karchaoui (45+1'), Samoura (87')
Coverage of the Women's Champions League Group Stage clash between Roma Women and Paris Saint-Germain Women.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: PSG 2-1 Roma
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
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Last Game: PSG 2-1 Roma
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma Women win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain Women had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain Women win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Roma WomenDrawParis Saint-Germain Women
42.08% (-2.112 -2.11) 25.43% (0.571 0.57) 32.48% (1.548 1.55)
Both teams to score 55.37% (-1.259 -1.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.64% (-1.933 -1.93)48.36% (1.937 1.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.5% (-1.791 -1.79)70.5% (1.797 1.8)
Roma Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.13% (-1.808 -1.81)22.87% (1.814 1.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.4% (-2.745 -2.75)56.6% (2.751 2.75)
Paris Saint-Germain Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.79% (0.055000000000007 0.06)28.21% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.09% (0.064 0.06)63.91% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Roma Women 42.08%
    Paris Saint-Germain Women 32.48%
    Draw 25.43%
Roma WomenDrawParis Saint-Germain Women
1-0 @ 9.52% (0.247 0.25)
2-1 @ 8.89% (-0.241 -0.24)
2-0 @ 7.02% (-0.2 -0.2)
3-1 @ 4.37% (-0.369 -0.37)
3-0 @ 3.45% (-0.297 -0.3)
3-2 @ 2.77% (-0.229 -0.23)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.235 -0.24)
4-0 @ 1.27% (-0.187 -0.19)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.147 -0.15)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 42.08%
1-1 @ 12.04% (0.33 0.33)
0-0 @ 6.45% (0.501 0.5)
2-2 @ 5.62% (-0.144 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.43%
0-1 @ 8.16% (0.645 0.65)
1-2 @ 7.62% (0.219 0.22)
0-2 @ 5.17% (0.415 0.42)
1-3 @ 3.22% (0.097 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.18% (0.178 0.18)
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 32.48%

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Form Guide
Last Game: PSG 2-1 Roma
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Roma 3-0 Ajax
Thursday, November 23 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Bayern Munich 2-2 Roma
Wednesday, November 15 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Vorskla Poltava 6-1 Roma
Wednesday, October 18 at 1.30pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Roma 3-0 Vorskla Poltava
Wednesday, October 11 at 1.30pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Barcelona 5-1 Roma
Wednesday, March 29 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: PSG 2-1 Roma
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: PSG 0-1 Bayern Munich
Thursday, November 23 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Ajax 2-0 PSG
Wednesday, November 15 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: PSG 3-1 Man Utd Women
Wednesday, October 18 at 7pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Man Utd Women 1-1 PSG
Tuesday, October 10 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-1 PSG
Thursday, March 30 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League


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