SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partizan win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 37.8% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partizan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.18%) and 2-0 (5.52%). The likeliest Dynamo Kiev win was 1-2 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Dynamo Kiev would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Partizan | Draw | Dynamo Kiev |
38.17% ( -0.89) | 24.02% ( 0.01) | 37.8% ( 0.88) |
| Both teams to score 61.41% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.05% ( -0) | 40.95% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.66% ( -0) | 63.34% ( 0) |
| Partizan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.46% ( -0.44) | 21.54% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.38% ( -0.67) | 54.61% ( 0.67) |
| Dynamo Kiev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.27% ( 0.44) | 21.73% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.1% ( 0.67) | 54.89% ( -0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Partizan | Draw | Dynamo Kiev |
| 2-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 4.31% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.64% Total : 38.17% | 1-1 @ 10.96% 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.68% 3-3 @ 1.67% ( 0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 24.01% | 1-2 @ 8.37% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 4.26% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 1.63% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.59% Total : 37.8% |
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