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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Aug 16, 2020 at 9.30pm UK
Estadio CampeĆ³n del Siglo
BR

Penarol
2 - 0
Boston River

Torres (51'), Terans (65')
Kagelmacher (26')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bentancourt (26'), Flores (34'), Fratta (55'), Alberti (64')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Boston River.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 60.64%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 14.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.5%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Boston River win it was 0-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
PenarolDrawBoston River
60.64%24.52%14.83%
Both teams to score 38.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.5%60.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.39%80.61%
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.09%19.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.96%52.04%
Boston River Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.93%52.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.95%86.05%
Score Analysis
    Penarol 60.64%
    Boston River 14.83%
    Draw 24.51%
PenarolDrawBoston River
1-0 @ 16.73%
2-0 @ 13.5%
2-1 @ 8.81%
3-0 @ 7.26%
3-1 @ 4.74%
4-0 @ 2.93%
4-1 @ 1.91%
3-2 @ 1.55%
5-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 60.64%
1-1 @ 10.91%
0-0 @ 10.36%
2-2 @ 2.88%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 24.51%
0-1 @ 6.77%
1-2 @ 3.56%
0-2 @ 2.21%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 14.83%


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