SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 57.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Ruch Chorzow had a probability of 20.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 1-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Ruch Chorzow win it was 1-2 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pogon Szczecin would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pogon Szczecin | Draw | Ruch Chorzow |
57.58% ( 0.2) | 21.45% ( -0.02) | 20.97% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 58.46% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.47% ( -0.17) | 39.53% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.12% ( -0.18) | 61.87% ( 0.18) |
| Pogon Szczecin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.47% ( 0) | 13.53% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.4% ( 0.01) | 40.6% ( -0.01) |
| Ruch Chorzow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.6% ( -0.27) | 32.39% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.09% ( -0.3) | 68.91% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pogon Szczecin | Draw | Ruch Chorzow |
| 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.07)1-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.3% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.32% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.45% Total : 57.58% | 1-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.45% | 1-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 4.94% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 20.97% |
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