SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 48.32%. A win for Korona Kielce had a probability of 26.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest Korona Kielce win was 1-0 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Korona Kielce | Draw | Pogon Szczecin |
26.31% ( -0.55) | 25.37% ( -0.2) | 48.32% ( 0.75) |
| Both teams to score 51.9% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.81% ( 0.44) | 51.19% ( -0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.97% ( 0.38) | 73.03% ( -0.39) |
| Korona Kielce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.86% ( -0.21) | 34.14% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.17% ( -0.22) | 70.82% ( 0.22) |
| Pogon Szczecin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.8% ( 0.51) | 21.2% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.92% ( 0.78) | 54.08% ( -0.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| Korona Kielce | Draw | Pogon Szczecin |
| 1-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.24% Total : 26.31% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 11.22% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.36% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 8.71% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 4.84% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 4.5% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 1.75% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.46% Total : 48.32% |
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