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Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 28
Apr 12, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera

Szczecin
5 - 0
Ruch Chorzow

Bartolewski (2' og.), Przyborek (35'), Koulouris (47', 54', 59')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Josema (25'), Sadlok (89')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Pogon Szczecin and Ruch Chorzow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lech Poznan 1-0 Szczecin
Sunday, April 7 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Ruch Chorzow 0-0 Puszcza Niepolomice
Saturday, April 6 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 57.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Ruch Chorzow had a probability of 20.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 1-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Ruch Chorzow win it was 1-2 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pogon Szczecin would win this match.

Result
Pogon SzczecinDrawRuch Chorzow
57.58% (0.19600000000001 0.2) 21.45% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 20.97% (-0.18 -0.18)
Both teams to score 58.46% (-0.227 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.47% (-0.172 -0.17)39.53% (0.173 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.12% (-0.18 -0.18)61.87% (0.18 0.18)
Pogon Szczecin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.47% (0.0039999999999907 0)13.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)40.6% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Ruch Chorzow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.6% (-0.265 -0.27)32.39% (0.265 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.09% (-0.3 -0.3)68.91% (0.301 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Pogon Szczecin 57.58%
    Ruch Chorzow 20.97%
    Draw 21.45%
Pogon SzczecinDrawRuch Chorzow
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.77% (0.072000000000001 0.07)
1-0 @ 8.77% (0.071 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.59% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.85% (0.049 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.71% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.3% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 2.92% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.86% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.32% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.17% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 57.58%
1-1 @ 9.88% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.57% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.38% (0.035 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.45%
1-2 @ 5.57% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-1 @ 4.94% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 2.79% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.09% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.05% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 20.97%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Lech Poznan 1-0 Szczecin
Sunday, April 7 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Szczecin 3-1 Cracovia
Saturday, March 30 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Korona Kielce 2-2 Szczecin
Sunday, March 17 at 11.30am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Szczecin 0-2 Zaglebie Lubin
Sunday, March 10 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Legia 1-1 Szczecin
Saturday, March 2 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Szczecin 4-2 LKS Lodz
Friday, February 23 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Ruch Chorzow 0-0 Puszcza Niepolomice
Saturday, April 6 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Rakow 1-1 Ruch Chorzow
Saturday, March 30 at 11.30am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Ruch Chorzow 1-2 Gornik
Saturday, March 16 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Stal Mielec 3-1 Ruch Chorzow
Sunday, March 10 at 11.30am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Ruch Chorzow 3-0 Piast Gliwice
Friday, March 1 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Jagiellonia 1-1 Ruch Chorzow
Saturday, February 24 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa


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