Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 57.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Ruch Chorzow had a probability of 20.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 1-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Ruch Chorzow win it was 1-2 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pogon Szczecin would win this match.
Result | ||
Pogon Szczecin | Draw | Ruch Chorzow |
57.58% ( 0.2) | 21.45% ( -0.02) | 20.97% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 58.46% ( -0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.47% ( -0.17) | 39.53% ( 0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.12% ( -0.18) | 61.87% ( 0.18) |
Pogon Szczecin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.47% ( 0) | 13.53% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.4% ( 0.01) | 40.6% ( -0.01) |
Ruch Chorzow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.6% ( -0.27) | 32.39% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.09% ( -0.3) | 68.91% ( 0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Pogon Szczecin | Draw | Ruch Chorzow |
2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.3% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.45% Total : 57.58% | 1-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.45% | 1-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 4.94% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 20.97% |
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