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Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Jul 20, 2024 at 4.05am UK
Estadio Cuauhtemoc

Puebla
1 - 2
Atlas

Cavallini (47')
Cavallini (37'), Castillo (73')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Aguirre (9', 23')
Marquez (30'), Aguirre (82'), Vargas (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Puebla 2-2 Club Leon
Wednesday, July 17 at 4am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atlas 1-0 Santos Laguna
Wednesday, July 17 at 2am in Liga MX

We said: Puebla 2-2 Atlas

Both sides play an exciting brand of football and are aggressive in their approach, so we expect to see our share of chances with the back of the net bulging more than once, given the quality each team possesses. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 36.92%. A win for Atlas had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Atlas win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
PueblaDrawAtlas
36.92% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 26.33% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 36.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.12% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.41% (0.022999999999996 0.02)51.59% (-0.020999999999994 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.62% (0.02 0.02)73.38% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Puebla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.93% (0.019999999999996 0.02)27.06% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.56% (0.024000000000001 0.02)62.43% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Atlas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.83% (0.0049999999999955 0)27.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.43% (0.007000000000005 0.01)62.57% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Puebla 36.92%
    Atlas 36.75%
    Draw 26.33%
PueblaDrawAtlas
1-0 @ 9.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 8.18% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 6.28% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.74% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.32% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 36.92%
1-1 @ 12.52%
0-0 @ 7.35% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 9.58% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.16%
0-2 @ 6.24% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 3.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.71% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 36.75%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Puebla 2-2 Club Leon
Wednesday, July 17 at 4am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 4-1 Puebla
Sunday, July 14 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 1-0 Santos Laguna
Friday, July 5 at 11.45pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 1-2 America
Saturday, April 27 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 3-1 Puebla
Saturday, April 20 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 0-1 Cruz Azul
Saturday, April 13 at 4am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atlas 1-0 Santos Laguna
Wednesday, July 17 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atlas 1-1 Tigres
Saturday, July 13 at 4.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 2-2 Atlas
Saturday, July 6 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atlas 0-1 Guadalajara
Sunday, April 28 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Cruz Azul 2-2 Atlas
Monday, April 22 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atlas 2-1 Atletico San Luis
Monday, April 15 at 1am in Liga MX


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