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Liga MX | Gameweek 17
Apr 27, 2024 at 2am UK
Estadio Cuauhtemoc

Puebla
1 - 2
America

Ferrareis (9')
Gonzalez (66')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Reyes Chavez (21', 45+3')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Puebla and Club America.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tijuana 3-1 Puebla
Saturday, April 20 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 1-1 Pachuca
Wednesday, April 24 at 3.15am in CONCACAF Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 67.77%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 14.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.68%) and 0-1 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for a Puebla win it was 2-1 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.

Result
PueblaDrawClub America
14.26% (0.0040000000000013 0) 17.98% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 67.77% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)
Both teams to score 56.83% (-0.017999999999994 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.92% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)35.08% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.92% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)57.08% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Puebla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.79% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)37.21% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.01% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)74% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.51% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)9.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.16% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)31.85% (0.023999999999997 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Puebla 14.26%
    Club America 67.77%
    Draw 17.98%
PueblaDrawClub America
2-1 @ 4.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 3.49% (0.004 0)
2-0 @ 1.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 14.26%
1-1 @ 8.22% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 3.53% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 17.98%
0-2 @ 9.79% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 9.68% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 8.32% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
0-3 @ 7.69% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 7.6% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 4.52% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 4.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 3.76% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-4 @ 2.21% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-5 @ 2.13% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-5 @ 2.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-5 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 4.45%
Total : 67.77%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Tijuana 3-1 Puebla
Saturday, April 20 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 0-1 Cruz Azul
Saturday, April 13 at 4am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 3-2 Puebla
Sunday, April 7 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 2-3 Tigres
Saturday, March 30 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 4-3 Puebla
Sunday, March 24 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Club Leon 2-1 Puebla
Sunday, March 17 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 1-1 Pachuca
Wednesday, April 24 at 3.15am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Pumas 2-1 America
Sunday, April 21 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 5-1 Toluca
Sunday, April 14 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 5-2 New England
Wednesday, April 10 at 3.30am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Santos Laguna 1-1 America
Sunday, April 7 at 4.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: New England 0-4 America
Wednesday, April 3 at 2am in CONCACAF Champions League


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