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Liga MX | Gameweek 15
Apr 13, 2024 at 4am UK
Estadio Cuauhtemoc

Puebla
0 - 1
Cruz Azul


Gonzalez (45'), Cavallini (58'), Herrera Rodriguez (72'), Navarro (90+2'), Olmedo (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Uriel (90+4' pen.)
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Puebla and Cruz Azul.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Guadalajara 3-2 Puebla
Sunday, April 7 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Cruz Azul 2-1 Monterrey
Sunday, April 7 at 4.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 56.08%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 21.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.68%) and 0-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Puebla win it was 2-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.

Result
PueblaDrawCruz Azul
21.54% (0.0020000000000024 0) 22.37% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 56.08% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 56.12% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.97% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)43.02% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.57% (0.0040000000000049 0)65.42% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Puebla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.16% (0.0039999999999907 0)33.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.49% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)70.5% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.82% (0.0039999999999907 0)15.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.2% (0.0040000000000049 0)43.8% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Puebla 21.54%
    Cruz Azul 56.08%
    Draw 22.37%
PueblaDrawCruz Azul
2-1 @ 5.69%
1-0 @ 5.57% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 3.02%
3-1 @ 2.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 21.54%
1-1 @ 10.49%
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.14% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.37%
1-2 @ 9.89% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 9.68% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 9.13% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 6.22%
0-3 @ 5.74% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-3 @ 3.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 2.93%
0-4 @ 2.7%
2-4 @ 1.59%
1-5 @ 1.1%
0-5 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 56.08%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Guadalajara 3-2 Puebla
Sunday, April 7 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 2-3 Tigres
Saturday, March 30 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 4-3 Puebla
Sunday, March 24 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Club Leon 2-1 Puebla
Sunday, March 17 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 2-2 Atlas
Saturday, March 9 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atletico San Luis 4-0 Puebla
Saturday, March 2 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Cruz Azul 2-1 Monterrey
Sunday, April 7 at 4.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pumas 0-0 Cruz Azul
Sunday, March 31 at 4.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Cruz Azul 1-2 Necaxa
Saturday, March 16 at 11pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Santos Laguna 3-0 Cruz Azul
Sunday, March 10 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Cruz Azul 3-0 Guadalajara
Sunday, March 3 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 1-0 Cruz Azul
Sunday, February 25 at 3.10am in Liga MX


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