Liga MX | Gameweek 1
Jul 5, 2024 at 11.45pm UK
Estadio Cuauhtemoc
We said: Puebla 1-2 Santos Laguna
Puebla were the worst side in the top flight in the second half of the season and have not made many significant signings to suggest that a complete turnaround in performance is likely here.
Indeed Santos were far form their best during the run-in last term, but they certainly had more firepower than the hosts and we feel they will get the season off to a winning start.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 44.68%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Puebla win was 2-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result |
| Puebla | Draw | Santos Laguna |
31.56% ( -1.04) | 23.76% ( -0.34) | 44.68% ( 1.38) |
| Both teams to score 60.79% ( 0.77) |
| 58.89% ( 1.21) | 41.11% ( -1.21) |
| 36.5% ( 1.22) | 63.5% ( -1.22) |
| 74.75% ( -0.05) | 25.25% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.99% ( -0.06) | 60% ( 0.07) |
| 81.32% ( 1.08) | 18.67% ( -1.08) |
