SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puszcza Niepolomice win with a probability of 41.84%. A win for Lechia Gdansk had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puszcza Niepolomice win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Lechia Gdansk win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Puszcza Niepolomice would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Puszcza Niepolomice | Draw | Lechia Gdansk |
41.84% ( -0.08) | 26.13% ( 0.03) | 32.02% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 52.9% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.51% ( -0.12) | 51.48% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.71% ( -0.11) | 73.28% ( 0.11) |
| Puszcza Niepolomice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.64% ( -0.09) | 24.36% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.24% ( -0.13) | 58.75% ( 0.13) |
| Lechia Gdansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.94% ( -0.03) | 30.06% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.81% ( -0.03) | 66.19% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Puszcza Niepolomice | Draw | Lechia Gdansk |
| 1-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.78% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.69% Total : 41.83% | 1-1 @ 12.42% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.12% | 0-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.47% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.99% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.24% Total : 32.02% |
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