SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 47.84%. A win for Lechia Gdansk had a probability of 26.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Lechia Gdansk win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lech Poznan | Draw | Lechia Gdansk |
47.84% ( -0.07) | 25.49% ( -0.17) | 26.68% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 51.84% ( 0.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.58% ( 0.87) | 51.42% ( -0.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.77% ( 0.76) | 73.24% ( -0.75) |
| Lech Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.5% ( 0.33) | 21.51% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.44% ( 0.5) | 54.56% ( -0.5) |
| Lechia Gdansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.04% ( 0.67) | 33.96% ( -0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.36% ( 0.72) | 70.64% ( -0.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lech Poznan | Draw | Lechia Gdansk |
| 1-0 @ 11.22% ( -0.28) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.39% Total : 47.83% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.26)2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.48% | 0-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 6.55% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.28% Total : 26.68% |
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