Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 1
Jul 19, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadion Miejski
FT(HT: 0-0)
Abramowicz (41'),
Craciun (76'), Stepien (83')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Jagiellonia Bialystok and Puszcza Niepolomice.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 50.66%. A win for Puszcza Niepolomice had a probability of 24.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Puszcza Niepolomice win was 0-1 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.
| Result |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | Puszcza Niepolomice |
50.66% ( -3.24) | 24.5% ( 0.4) | 24.84% ( 2.84) |
| Both teams to score 53.25% ( 2.05) |
| 51.23% ( 1.09) | 48.76% ( -1.09) |
| 29.13% ( 0.99) | 70.87% ( -0.99) |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
| 80.74% ( -0.84) | 19.26% ( 0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.02% ( -1.41) | 50.98% ( 1.41) |
| Puszcza Niepolomice Goals |
| 65.94% ( 3.19) | 34.05% ( -3.19) |
