SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 68.86%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Huachipato had a probability of 12.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Huachipato win it was 0-1 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing Club | Draw | Huachipato |
68.86% ( -0.02) | 18.41% ( 0.03) | 12.73% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 50.67% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.11% ( -0.14) | 40.89% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.73% ( -0.14) | 63.27% ( 0.14) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.2% ( -0.04) | 10.8% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.15% ( -0.1) | 34.85% ( 0.1) |
| Huachipato Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.8% ( -0.09) | 43.2% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.54% ( -0.08) | 79.46% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing Club | Draw | Huachipato |
| 2-0 @ 11.55% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.7% 3-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 4.77% ( -0)4-1 @ 4% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.08% Total : 68.85% | 1-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.95% Total : 18.41% | 0-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.66% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.64% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 1.35% Total : 12.73% |
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