SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 46.45%. A win for Pogon Szczecin had a probability of 28.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Pogon Szczecin win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rakow Czestochowa in this match.
| Result | ||
| Rakow Czestochowa | Draw | Pogon Szczecin |
46.45% ( 0.64) | 25.25% ( -0.01) | 28.29% ( -0.63) |
| Both teams to score 53.78% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.54% ( -0.32) | 49.45% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.51% ( -0.29) | 71.49% ( 0.29) |
| Rakow Czestochowa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.7% ( 0.15) | 21.3% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.75% ( 0.24) | 54.24% ( -0.24) |
| Pogon Szczecin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.33% ( -0.63) | 31.66% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.92% ( -0.73) | 68.08% ( 0.73) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rakow Czestochowa | Draw | Pogon Szczecin |
| 1-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 2.48% Total : 46.45% | 1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.78% Total : 28.29% |
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