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Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 32
May 11, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stadion Rakow

Rakow
2 - 1
Szczecin

Papanikolaou (8'), Crnac (20')
Tudor (40'), Crnac (62')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Grosicki (74')
Malec (25'), Gustafsson (30'), Zech (51'), Koutris (68'), Gorgon (90+3')
Koutris (90+7')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Rakow Czestochowa and Pogon Szczecin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Zaglebie Lubin 2-0 Rakow
Saturday, May 4 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Szczecin 1-0 Puszcza Niepolomice
Monday, May 6 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 45.43%. A win for Pogon Szczecin had a probability of 29.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Pogon Szczecin win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Rakow Czestochowa in this match.

Result
Rakow CzestochowaDrawPogon Szczecin
45.43% (-0.177 -0.18) 24.6% (0.067 0.07) 29.97% (0.113 0.11)
Both teams to score 57% (-0.16 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.28% (-0.238 -0.24)45.72% (0.241 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.96% (-0.227 -0.23)68.04% (0.229 0.23)
Rakow Czestochowa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.78% (-0.173 -0.17)20.22% (0.175 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.46% (-0.279 -0.28)52.54% (0.281 0.28)
Pogon Szczecin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.44% (-0.044000000000011 -0.04)28.56% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.65% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)64.35% (0.058000000000007 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Rakow Czestochowa 45.43%
    Pogon Szczecin 29.97%
    Draw 24.59%
Rakow CzestochowaDrawPogon Szczecin
2-1 @ 9.25% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9.23% (0.044 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.38% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 4.93% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.93% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.09% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.97% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.57% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 45.43%
1-1 @ 11.56% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.77% (0.059 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.59%
1-2 @ 7.25% (0.017 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.24% (0.065 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.53% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.03% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.42% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.89% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 29.97%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Zaglebie Lubin 2-0 Rakow
Saturday, May 4 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Widzew Lodz 0-1 Rakow
Saturday, April 27 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Rakow 0-1 Gornik
Friday, April 19 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Rakow 1-1 Legia
Saturday, April 13 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Radomiak Radom 2-1 Rakow
Friday, April 5 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Rakow 1-1 Ruch Chorzow
Saturday, March 30 at 11.30am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Szczecin 1-0 Puszcza Niepolomice
Monday, May 6 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Jagiellonia 2-2 Szczecin
Friday, April 26 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Szczecin 0-2 Piast Gliwice
Saturday, April 20 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Szczecin 5-0 Ruch Chorzow
Friday, April 12 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Lech Poznan 1-0 Szczecin
Sunday, April 7 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Szczecin 3-1 Cracovia
Saturday, March 30 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa


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