SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 45.19%. A win for Rakow Czestochowa had a probability of 31.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.38%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Rakow Czestochowa win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pogon Szczecin | Draw | Rakow Czestochowa |
45.19% ( 0.13) | 23.28% ( 0.04) | 31.52% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 62.51% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.15% ( -0.26) | 38.84% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.84% ( -0.27) | 61.16% ( 0.27) |
| Pogon Szczecin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.43% ( -0.05) | 17.56% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.89% ( -0.09) | 48.11% ( 0.08) |
| Rakow Czestochowa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.82% ( -0.23) | 24.17% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.5% ( -0.33) | 58.49% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pogon Szczecin | Draw | Rakow Czestochowa |
| 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.29% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.3% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.95% Total : 45.19% | 1-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.28% | 1-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.28% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.81% Total : 31.52% |
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