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RL
Championship | Gameweek 29
Feb 13, 2021 at 3pm UK
Madejski Stadium
ML

Reading
1 - 2
Millwall

Semedo (17')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Smith (76'), Bennett (85')
Hutchinson (65'), Wallace (90')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Reading had a probability of 30.31% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (10.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
ReadingDrawMillwall
30.31%28.76%40.92%
Both teams to score 44.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.25%61.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.44%81.55%
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.34%36.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.55%73.44%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.35%29.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.3%65.69%
Score Analysis
    Reading 30.3%
    Millwall 40.92%
    Draw 28.76%
ReadingDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 10.9%
2-1 @ 6.65%
2-0 @ 5.47%
3-1 @ 2.23%
3-0 @ 1.83%
3-2 @ 1.35%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 30.3%
1-1 @ 13.26%
0-0 @ 10.86%
2-2 @ 4.05%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 28.76%
0-1 @ 13.21%
1-2 @ 8.06%
0-2 @ 8.03%
1-3 @ 3.27%
0-3 @ 3.26%
2-3 @ 1.64%
1-4 @ 0.99%
0-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 40.92%

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