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Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 19, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Monte de Azevido
B

Rebordosa
0 - 2
Braga


Alves (28')
Alves (48')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lopes (10'), Djalo (62')
Carvalho (20'), Castro (55')

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Braga 2-1 Rio Ave
Saturday, October 7 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Rebordosa 0-3 Braga

Given that there are three divisions between these sides and a huge gulf in financial resources, we would be amazed if Braga do not cruise to a comfortable victory. Rebordosa's only hope of causing an upset may be the timing of the international break, which could hamper Braga's selection strategy, but even so the visitors should have more than enough at their disposal to get the job done. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 79.12%. A draw had a probability of 13.1% and a win for Rebordosa had a probability of 7.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.17%) and 1-2 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.1%), while for a Rebordosa win it was 2-1 (2.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Braga in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Braga.

Result
RebordosaDrawBraga
7.73% (0.019900000000001 0.02) 13.15% (0.023 0.02) 79.12% (-0.038000000000011 -0.04)
Both teams to score 50.96% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.39% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)30.61% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.08% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)51.92% (0.073 0.07)
Rebordosa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.26% (0.0010000000000048 0)45.74% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.48% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)81.52% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.91% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)6.09% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.88% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)23.13% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Rebordosa 7.73%
    Braga 79.11%
    Draw 13.15%
RebordosaDrawBraga
2-1 @ 2.38% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 2.18% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 7.73%
1-1 @ 6.1% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.34% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 2.78% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 13.15%
0-2 @ 10.9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 10.17%
1-2 @ 8.53% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-3 @ 7.96% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 7.79% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 7.12% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-4 @ 5.57% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-5 @ 3.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-5 @ 3.12% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 2.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-6 @ 1.86% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-6 @ 1.46% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-5 @ 1.22% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 4.14%
Total : 79.11%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Rebordosa
Last Game: Braga 2-1 Rio Ave
Saturday, October 7 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-3 Braga
Tuesday, October 3 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 2-4 Braga
Thursday, September 28 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 4-1 Boavista
Sunday, September 24 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 1-2 Napoli
Wednesday, September 20 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Farense 3-1 Braga
Saturday, September 16 at 6pm in Primeira Liga


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