SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 52.84%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 23.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Boavista |
52.84% ( -0.09) | 23.98% ( 0.04) | 23.18% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 53.04% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.85% ( -0.15) | 48.14% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.69% ( -0.14) | 70.3% ( 0.14) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.82% ( -0.09) | 18.17% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.84% ( -0.15) | 49.16% ( 0.15) |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.82% ( -0.04) | 35.17% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.07% ( -0.05) | 71.93% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Boavista |
| 1-0 @ 10.9% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.29% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.52% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.41% Total : 52.84% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.97% | 0-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.95% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 2.01% Total : 23.18% |
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