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FL
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 16, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio de Sao Luis
B

Farense
3 - 1
Braga

Duarte (31'), Costa (44'), Belloumi (58')
Silva (37'), Talocha (62'), Costa (71'), Jorge (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Banza (56')
Moutinho (37'), Ruiz (50'), Oliveira (83'), Zalazar (86'), Elmusrati (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Famalicao 1-0 Farense
Saturday, September 2 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 2-3 Braga
Saturday, September 9 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: SC Farense 0-2 Braga

Braga look capable of breaking into the top three again with the quality in their ranks, and another win here would continue to justify that claim. The visitors will want a positive result before starting their Champions League campaign in midweek, and Farense's underwhelming form may provide a good opportunity for Braga to get just that. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 55.09%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 21.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.83%) and 0-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-0 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
SC FarenseDrawBraga
21.69% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 23.22%55.09% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.54% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.45% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)46.55% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.18% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)68.82% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.32% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)35.68% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.55% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)72.45% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.24%16.76% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.3%46.7% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    SC Farense 21.69%
    Braga 55.09%
    Draw 23.21%
SC FarenseDrawBraga
1-0 @ 6.16%
2-1 @ 5.67% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 3.18% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 1.95% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.74% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.09% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 21.69%
1-1 @ 11%
0-0 @ 5.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.21%
0-1 @ 10.68% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.83%
0-2 @ 9.54% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 5.85%
0-3 @ 5.68% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-3 @ 3.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.61%
0-4 @ 2.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.35%
1-5 @ 0.93%
0-5 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 55.09%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Famalicao 1-0 Farense
Saturday, September 2 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Farense 5-0 Chaves
Saturday, August 26 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 2-1 Farense
Sunday, August 20 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Farense 0-3 Casa Pia
Saturday, August 12 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Farense 2-4 Roma
Wednesday, August 2 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Farense 3-2 UD Oliveirense
Saturday, July 29 at 6pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 2-3 Braga
Saturday, September 9 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 1-1 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, September 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Panathinaikos 0-1 Braga
Tuesday, August 29 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Braga 2-1 Panathinaikos
Wednesday, August 23 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Chaves 2-4 Braga
Saturday, August 19 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Backa Topola 1-4 Braga
Tuesday, August 15 at 7pm in Champions League


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