SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 48.01%. A win for Rapid Vienna had a probability of 27.94% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Rapid Vienna win was 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Red Bull Salzburg | Draw | Rapid Vienna |
48.01% ( -4.17) | 24.05% ( 0.49) | 27.94% ( 3.68) |
| Both teams to score 57.49% ( 1.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.55% ( 0.84) | 44.45% ( -0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.18% ( 0.81) | 66.82% ( -0.81) |
| Red Bull Salzburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.36% ( -1.29) | 18.64% ( 1.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.05% ( -2.2) | 49.95% ( 2.2) |
| Rapid Vienna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.66% ( 3.33) | 29.33% ( -3.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.69% ( 3.9) | 65.31% ( -3.9) |
| Score Analysis |
| Red Bull Salzburg | Draw | Rapid Vienna |
| 2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.27) 1-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.74)2-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.98)3-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.38)3-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.75)3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.26)4-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.41)4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.37% Total : 48.01% | 1-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.36)0-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.2)3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.04% | 1-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.69) 0-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.36)0-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.56)1-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.51)2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.34)0-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.36)Other @ 3.34% Total : 27.94% |
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