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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17
Dec 20, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Auguste-Delaune II
LH

Reims
1 - 0
Le Havre

Nakamura (25')
Foket (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Casimir (54')
N'Diaye (21')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lens 2-0 Reims
Saturday, December 16 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 3-1 Nice
Saturday, December 16 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Reims 2-1 Le Havre

Reims have been on the wrong side of fine margins in their losses at Nice and Lens recently, but we are expecting the hosts' fortunes to turn on Wednesday night. Le Havre were excellent in their win over Nice last time out, but we envisage a slight reality check for LH at Stade Auguste-Delaune II in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 46.59%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Reims in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Reims.

Result
ReimsDrawLe Havre
46.59% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 25.4% (-0.023 -0.02) 28% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.1% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.75% (0.070999999999998 0.07)50.24% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.8% (0.064 0.06)72.2% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Reims Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.43% (0.043999999999997 0.04)21.57% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.35% (0.073 0.07)54.65% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.7% (0.021999999999991 0.02)32.3% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.2% (0.024999999999999 0.02)68.8% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Reims 46.59%
    Le Havre 28%
    Draw 25.39%
ReimsDrawLe Havre
1-0 @ 10.68% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.26% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.2% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.74% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.19% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.68% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.82% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.61% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 46.59%
1-1 @ 12.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.97% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.23% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.39%
0-1 @ 7.87% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.83% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 4.45% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.57% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.97% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.68% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 28%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lens 2-0 Reims
Saturday, December 16 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 2-1 Reims
Sunday, December 10 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 2-1 Strasbourg
Friday, December 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 3-1 Reims
Sunday, November 26 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 0-3 PSG
Saturday, November 11 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 0-1 Reims
Sunday, November 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 3-1 Nice
Saturday, December 16 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-1 Le Havre
Sunday, December 10 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 0-2 PSG
Sunday, December 3 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 0-0 Le Havre
Sunday, November 26 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 0-0 Monaco
Saturday, November 11 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 1-2 Le Havre
Sunday, November 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1


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