Nantes have enjoyed a positive start to the season; however, their defensive record is a major concern. Reims have scored at least once in every league match they have played this season, and against a leaky defence in this one, we fancy the visitors to come away with the points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Nantes win was 2-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reims would win this match.