Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 58.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 19.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.15%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Le Havre win it was 1-0 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Paris Saint-Germain.
Result | ||
Le Havre | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
19.34% ( 1) | 22.35% ( 0.57) | 58.32% ( -1.57) |
Both teams to score 52.7% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.13% ( -0.97) | 45.87% ( 0.97) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.82% ( -0.92) | 68.18% ( 0.92) |
Le Havre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.31% ( 0.53) | 37.69% ( -0.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.53% ( 0.52) | 74.46% ( -0.52) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.58% ( -0.83) | 15.42% ( 0.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.76% ( -1.58) | 44.24% ( 1.58) |
Score Analysis |
Le Havre | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
1-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.47% Total : 19.34% | 1-1 @ 10.6% ( 0.28) 0-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.35% | 0-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 10.15% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 9.91% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 6.33% ( -0.3) 1-3 @ 6.18% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 2.96% ( -0.23) 1-4 @ 2.89% ( -0.18) 2-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.07) 0-5 @ 1.11% ( -0.12) 1-5 @ 1.08% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.43% Total : 58.31% |
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