SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for Reims had a probability of 29.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Reims win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rennes | Draw | Reims |
46.5% ( -0.4) | 24.16% ( 0.12) | 29.34% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 58.11% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.92% ( -0.4) | 44.08% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.54% ( -0.39) | 66.46% ( 0.39) |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.89% ( -0.32) | 19.11% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.27% ( -0.53) | 50.73% ( 0.53) |
| Reims Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.83% ( -0.02) | 28.17% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.15% ( -0.02) | 63.85% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rennes | Draw | Reims |
| 2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 7.37% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.15% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.24% Total : 46.5% | 1-1 @ 11.28% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.15% | 1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.75% Total : 29.34% |
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