SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 8 | 26 | 22 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 8 | 10 | 18 |
| 3 | Greece | 8 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Republic of Ireland | 8 | -1 | 6 |
| 5 | Gibraltar | 8 | -41 | 0 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Germany | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Hungary | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Switzerland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungary win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Republic of Ireland win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Republic of Ireland | Draw | Hungary |
30.78% ( -1.72) | 27.19% ( 0.58) | 42.03% ( 1.14) |
| Both teams to score 49.17% ( -2.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.96% ( -2.75) | 56.04% ( 2.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.88% ( -2.28) | 77.12% ( 2.27) |
| Republic of Ireland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.74% ( -2.61) | 33.26% ( 2.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.13% ( -2.97) | 69.87% ( 2.97) |
| Hungary Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.68% ( -0.66) | 26.32% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.55% ( -0.89) | 61.45% ( 0.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| Republic of Ireland | Draw | Hungary |
| 1-0 @ 9.64% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.4)2-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.35)3-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.22)3-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.27)Other @ 2.48% Total : 30.78% | 1-1 @ 12.86% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.89)2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.36)Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.19% | 0-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.98) 1-2 @ 8.59% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.8% ( 0.52)1-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.2)1-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.14% Total : 42.03% |
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