SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 6 | 12 | 18 |
| 2 | Greece | 6 | 7 | 12 |
| 3 | Netherlands | 5 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Republic of Ireland | 6 | -4 | 3 |
| 5 | Gibraltar | 5 | -17 | 0 |
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 6 | 12 | 18 |
| 2 | Greece | 6 | 7 | 12 |
| 3 | Netherlands | 5 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Republic of Ireland | 6 | -4 | 3 |
| 5 | Gibraltar | 5 | -17 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 81.43%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 5.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (13.4%) and 0-1 (13.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.1%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 1-0 (2.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Republic of Ireland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gibraltar | Draw | Republic of Ireland |
5.1% ( 0.14) | 13.46% ( 0.08) | 81.43% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 33.59% ( 0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.75% ( 0.29) | 44.24% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.38% ( 0.28) | 66.62% ( -0.28) |
| Gibraltar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 36.74% ( 0.69) | 63.26% ( -0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 7.77% ( 0.31) | 92.23% ( -0.31) |
| Republic of Ireland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.43% ( 0.01) | 8.57% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.38% ( 0.03) | 29.62% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gibraltar | Draw | Republic of Ireland |
| 1-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.23% Total : 5.11% | 1-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.23% Total : 13.46% | 0-2 @ 16.36% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 13.4% ( -0.14)0-1 @ 13.31% ( -0.16)0-4 @ 8.23% ( -0.08)1-2 @ 7.49% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 6.14% ( 0.08)0-5 @ 4.05% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 3.77% ( 0.05)1-5 @ 1.85% ( 0.03)0-6 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.76% Total : 81.42% |
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